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Daily Market Insight: 24 November 2022

24 พ.ย. 2565
  •   USDTHB: moving in the range 36.03-36.09 this morning, supportive level at 36.00 resistance level at 36.30

·         SET Index: 1,624.4 (+0.56%), 23 Nov 2022

·         S&P 500 Index: 4,027.3 (+0.59%), 23 Nov 2022

·         Thai 10-year government bond yield (interpolated): 2.73 (-4.82 bps), 23 Nov 2022

·         US 10-year treasury yield: 3.71 (-5.0 bps), 23 Nov 2022

 

  • U.S. initial jobless claims hit three-month high of 240,000
  • UK PMI sticks near 21-month low as orders weaken
  • Japan business activity shrinks in Nov on manufacturing slowdown
  • Dollar down as Fed minutes, U.S. data weighs

 

U.S. initial jobless claims hit three-month high of 240,000 The number of people making initial claims for unemployment benefits rose by more than expected to a three-month high, adding to increasingly clear signs that the labor market is cooling in response to the Federal Reserve's sequence of big hikes in interest rates. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said initial jobless claims rose to 240,000 last week from 223,000 the previous week. That's the highest number since August when the numbers were distorted by maintenance schedules at the auto industry. The rolling four-week average for initial claims, which smooths out some of the series' volatility, rose to 226,750, the highest since September. Continuing claims also rose by 48,000, more than expected, to 1.551 million, their highest since February, an indication that it's getting harder for the laid-off to find new jobs immediately.

 

UK PMI sticks near 21-month low as orders weaken British economic activity fell at close to its fastest pace in nearly two years in November, adding to signs of recession as orders sank and employment growth slowed, a survey showed on Wednesday. The 'flash' or preliminary version of the IHS Markit/CIPS composite purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Britain edged up to 48.3 from 48.2 in October, which was its lowest reading since January 2021, when there was a COVID-19 lockdown. PMI readings below 50 represent economic contraction, and economists polled by Reuters had expected the flash PMI to fall again this month to 47.5. IHS Markit said that aside from the pandemic, the UK PMI was now pointing to the biggest quarterly fall in economic output since early 2009, during the global financial crisis, with a drop of 0.4%.

 

Japan business activity shrinks in Nov on manufacturing slowdown Japanese business activity shrank in November, data showed on Thursday, as high inflation, a depreciating yen and dwindling overseas demand weighed heavily on local manufacturers, while the services sector came close to contraction territory. The au Jibun Bank’s flash composite output purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 48.9 in November from 51.8 in the prior month, contracting for the first time in three months. The weak reading was driven largely by an unexpected drop in Japan’s manufacturing PMI to 49.4- its first contraction since January 2021. Analysts were expecting a reading of 50.9, with a level above 50 indicating expansion. Japan’s services PMI fell to 50.0 in November from 53.2 in the prior month, indicating that service sector activity remained static in November.

 

Dollar down as Fed minutes, U.S. data weighs The 10-year government bond yield (interpolated) on the previous trading day was 2.73, -4.82 bps. The benchmark government bond yield (LB31DA) was 2.77, -3.5 bps. LB31DA could be between 2.65-3.00. Meantime, the latest closed US 10-year bond yields was 3.71, -5.0 bps. USDTHB on the previous trading day closed around 36.16 Moving in a range of 36.03-36.09 this morning. USDTHB could be closed between 35.80-36.20 today. The U.S. dollar fell across the board on Wednesday, after minutes from the Federal Reserve's November meeting showed that most policymakers at the central bank agreed it would soon be appropriate to slow the pace of interest rate hikes. The readout of the Nov. 1-2 meeting, at which the Fed raised its key rate by three-quarters of a percent for the fourth straight time in an effort to combat decades-high inflation, showed officials were largely satisfied they could stop front-loading the rate increases and move in smaller steps.

 

Sources : ttb analytics , Bloomberg, CNBC, Trading economics, Investing, CEIC

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