Daily Market Insight

• US inflation expectations steady, quits at record low in Fed survey • China CPI hits 3-year high in February on holiday boost; PPI shrinks again • Japan Q4 GDP revised higher on strong capex and private consumption • European gas surges 15% as Middle East war disrupts LNG supplies • Dollar rally; oil price jump as Iran war escalation

• US nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly falls in February • The ECB key rate is still in a good place, but war increases upside inflation risks; the official said • UK house prices reach new high in February as market shows resilience • Oil prices hit $100 as Middle East supply fears persist • Dollar set for steepest weekly gain in a year as Iran crisis boosts haven demand

• Middle East conflict shows no sign of easing • Initial jobless claims hold steady • ECB minutes suggest rates may stay higher for longer • China tells top refiners to halt diesel and gasoline exports • Thailand inflation remains subdued despite expected oil-driven pickup • Dollar gains on haven demand as yields rise with surging oil

• Middle East conflict shows no sign of easing • Bessent signals tariffs will rise from 10% to 15% this week • US economic data beat market expectations • China signals acceptance of slower growth with 4.5%–5% 2026 target • Dollar pares haven bid amid improved risk sentiment

• Trump says US to provide insurance, military escorts in Strait of Hormuz • US ISM manufacturing rises, input costs soar before Iran attack • Eurozone inflation unexpectedly hits 1.9% in February • NESDC warns Middle East conflict could cut Thailand’s 2026 growth to 1.3% • Dollar firms as Middle East conflict escalates

• Iran’s supreme leader killed in major attack by US and Israel after failing the nuclear talk • US PPI increase strongly in January • Germany’s inflation eased, preliminary shows • OPEC+ raise oil output slightly on Iran disrupt shipments • Thailand banned all petroleum product exports as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz • Dollar gains as Iran war lifts energy prices

• US and Iran agree to extend nuclear talks • US jobless claims edged higher to 212,000 in holiday week • Tokyo CPI cools below BOJ’s target for first time since 2024 • Thai MPI beats expectations on auto and electronics strength • Dollar firms on wave of risk-off developments

• Trump praises economy and stands firm on tariffs • Nvidia’s rosy revenue forecast shows AI boom remains strong • Thailand surprises with rate cut to bolster fragile recovery • Dollar slides as Trump speech fails to spark market reaction

• US Consumer Confidence beats expectations in February • Takaichi flags rate-hike concerns to BOJ’s Ueda • China ramps up export curbs on Japanese firms • Thailand auto production rebounds on EV boost • Dollar edges higher on Tuesday

• Trump eyes new security tariffs after US Supreme Court ruling • Waller sees March FOMC as coin flip, data dependent • German business confidence rises as stimulus rollout accelerates • Thai exports jump most in four years on AI-led electronics boom • Dollar index edges lower on tariff updates, Waller remarks